Cove Energy (LON:COV) pushed 4.5% to 227p on
huge volume of 85 million shares before lunch, after the company
said that they have reached agreement on the terms of a recommended
cash offer to be made by Shell Bidco for the entire issued and to
be issued share capital of Cove. Cove Shareholders who accept the
offer will be entitled to receive 220 pence in cash for each Cove
share. The offer values the entire issued and to be issued share
capital of Cove at GBP1.12 billion million. Cove directors intend
to recommend unanimously that Cove shareholders accept the offer.
The offer is conditional upon, amongst other things: *The receipt
of written consent of the Republic of Mozambique's Minister of
Mineral Resources or through one or more delegated representatives
required as a result of the indirect change of control of Cove
Mozambique and the Rovuma Area 1 Interest, such consent to be in a
form satisfactory to Shell Bidco and such consent, once given, not
having been revoked or withdrawn or otherwise having lapsed; and
*Cove Mozambique being the owner of the entire legal and beneficial
interest in the Rovuma Area 1 Interest and, following the release
of this announcement, no circumstances having arisen which might
reasonably be expected to result in Cove Mozambique no longer being
the owner of the entire legal and beneficial interest in the Rovuma
Area 1 Interest. The bit of news that really pushed them over the
bid price was the announcement from PTT Exploration that said, In
connection with PTTEP's announcement dated 24 February 2012 of a
proposed cash offer for Cove, PTTEP notes today's announcement by
Shell Exploration and Production (XL) B.V. ("Shell") of its firm
intention to make an offer for Cove at a price of 220 pence in cash
for each Cove share, on and subject to the terms and conditions set
out in that announcement. PTTEP is currently considering its
options and will make a further announcement as and when
appropriate.
Gulfsands Petroleum (LON:GPX) slipped 1% to
125p, back towards its major support at 122p/125p. Volumes have not
really been catching the eye of late, and news reports that Syrian
forces have killed dozens of civilians in the past two days will
not do anything to help restore the already battered confidence in
the stock. This news raises fresh concerns about the potential of
success for the United Nations (UN) peace plan.
A few profit takers showed up to the Matra Petroleum
(LON:MTA) party today, knocking the shares for 5% to
2.75p during early afternoon trading, after the shares had pushed
on yet another 12% to a traded high of 3.25p. The shares had been
on a fantastic run over the last few sessions, so it was no
surprise to see a little profit coming off of the table up around
the 3p area, but as I type the shares are starting to edge up once
again.
Xtract Energy (LON:XTR) pushed on 8% to 0.67p
during afternoon trading as the shares slowly started to rebound
from the recent fall. The shares have dropped from just over 2p to
a recent low of 0.6p, after the company said that they found no
hydrocarbons at its Luna well, and that they would be looking for
new opportunities in the Netherlands. Possibly one of the reasons
for the additional fall was the market wondering if the company has
enough cash to expand its opportunities in the country, or if it
would need to raise additional funds.
Nighthawk Energy (LON:HAWK) jumped nearly 9% to
3.3p at the mid-price, albeit on very thin volume. The shares have
slipped from just over 5p back down to 3.1p over the last few
months, and the most recent update that read bullish enough could
not get them moving positive again either. The update on the
26th of March said that its 2012 work-over program at
its Jolly Ranch project in Colorado is on schedule and that its
preparation and data gathering is complete on seven wells. Second
work-over rig will be on location shortly. The company now
anticipates that additional down-hole work will be required above
original estimates, and consequently the company has budgeted for
an additional net spend of $300,000 to $600,000, which is fully
funded. Nighthawk is undertaking substantial overhaul of topside
facilities including cleaning of tanks, improvement of well-pads;
better environmental protection; and improved infrastructure.
Data-gathering process has proved very successful with check-shot
data obtained from three wells and additional logging data from the
out-lying Williams 10-27 well. Over the past week recompletion work
to bring three additional wells into production has been underway
and an update on production will be released in April 2012. Now the
last line of that update is the one I think could be the main
driver behind the bounce. So possibly the market is getting ready
for a production update.
Bowleven (LON:BLVN) jumped 5% to 85p during
afternoon trading after the company said that its wholly-owned
Cameroon operating subsidiary, Euroil Limited ("Euroil"), has
signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) relating to the supply
of gas from the Etinde Permit. The following release was made by
SNH in Cameroon today. Signing of a Memorandum of Understanding
between SNH, German company Ferrostaal GmbH and EurOil Ltd with a
view to supplying natural gas to the chemical fertilizer plant. The
Executive General Manager of the National Hydrocarbons Corporation
(SNH), Mr Adolphe MOUDIKI, the Senior Vice-President of German
company FERROSTAAL GmbH (FERROSTAAL), Mister Kaspar EVERTZ, and the
Chairman of EurOil Limited (EUROIL), Chief TABETANDO, inform the
public of the signing on 24 April 2012 at the head office of SNH in
Yaounde, of a Memorandum of Understanding for the supply of natural
gas to the chemical fertilizer production plant due to be
constructed in Limbe, Cameroon. Under the Memorandum of
Understanding, the three companies intend to cooperate towards the
evaluation, development and putting on production of the gas fields
in the EurOil operated Etinde permit, within a time limit
compatible with the construction of the plant, in order to ensure
that it is supplied with natural gas as from year-end 2015. The
estimated gas requirements of the fertilizer plant stand at 70
million cubic feet per day, for a minimum period of ten years which
the parties wish to extend to 20 years, with the contribution of
other potential or identified gas fields on the EurOil operated
ETINDE permit.
HaiKe Chemical (LON:HAIK) jumped 21% to 35.5p
on almost 4 times the average daily volume. The last RNS from the
company on the 23rd of April said "HaiKe Chemical Group
Limited the AIM quoted (AIM: HAIK) petrochemical, specialty
chemical and biochemical business based in China will announce
final results for the year ended 31 December 2011 in early May
2012." So possibly the market is getting ready for the final
results which should be over the next few weeks.
Serica Energy (LON:SQZ) slipped 1.5% to 29p
during early trading, albeit on thin volume. The shares have
slipped from the high of just over 45p back toward the end of
March, to the current level of 29p that has historically acted as a
major support line. It will be very interesting to see how the
holders react to the shares now they are back to the major support.
The shares jumped initially after the company said that BP PLC
(BP.LN) has agreed to earn a minority stake in its offshore Namibia
exploration license by covering past costs and paying for an
extensive three-dimensional seismic survey. Serica currently holds
an 85% stake in exploration license 0047 and has agreed to farm out
30% to BP. The National Petroleum Corporation of Namibia Ltd. holds
a 10% stake and Indigenous Energy Ltd. holds the remaining 5%. The
deep water geological basins offshore Namibia, including the
Luderitz Basin, are at the early frontier stage of exploration and
having a major like BP on board, should reduce the financial and
technical risk to the minnow.
We (Fox Davies) put out a BUY note on Melrose Resources
(LON:MRS) today, with a price target of 175p. The note
highlighted that Melrose Resources has demonstrated its ability to
execute a cost competitive exploration, appraisal and development
strategy. With an already strong balance sheet and improving cash
flow, alongside a balanced exploration portfolio, all the elements
exist for a robust growth model. Against this we temper the
additional risks associated with operating in Egypt. We initiate
coverage on Melrose Resources with a BUY recommendation and a
target price of 175p.
• Egyptian risk overdone: While there are some short term risks
with respect to payment terms, we do not believe the risks
associated with nationalisation to be too excessive. Nevertheless,
although the termination of the Egyptian / Israeli gas deal has
been presented as a commercial issue, there is the fear that this
is just the mask covering more clandestine motivations, all of
which will only serve to stoke regional tensions.
• Balanced portfolio: Melrose has a well-balanced portfolio of
assets with established producing assets in Egypt and Bulgaria,
frontier exploration potential in France, Egypt and Turkey, and
further exploration in Romania. Its CapEx spend has averaged $114mm
pa over the last 3 years, with a ~50:50 split between development
and exploration.
• Attractive project economics: Melrose pursued an aggressive
development strategy in Egypt and Bulgaria, bringing its
discoveries on line quickly by leveraging off of its existing
infrastructure. This in turn has kept F&D costs to a minimum
and resulted in rapid paybacks; the operating cost for the
producing fields in Egypt and Bulgaria averages at just $2.1/boe.
The expertise it has developed can be applied across its portfolio.
The unit development cost ranges between $2-9/boe for the Egypt
fields and $7-9/boe for the Bulgaria fields. The 2P reserves of
35.6mm boe ensure cash flow to the Company for the minimum period
of six years.
• Significant cash built up: Melrose has established a strong
cash flow platform in Egypt and Bulgaria. We estimate free cash
flow generation of $394mm over the next three years which places
the Company in a strong position of being able to fully fund its
exploration and development programmes and retain sufficient
financial flexibility to pursue acquisitions.
• Initiate with a BUY recommendation and a target price of 175p:
With opportunities in the near medium and longer term, the stock is
keenly priced. However, this is offset by its exposure to the
turbulent Egyptian region. (A full copy of the note can be found on
our web site)
Nostra Terra Oil & Gas (LON:NTOG) slipped
4.4% to 0.435p at the mid-price today, albeit on thin volume. The
shares are now back to what looks like an interesting support line
along the uptrend. In the last update on the 16th of
April the company said that the drilling plan in the Bale Creek
prospect has been accelerated. The Company has a 30% working
interest in the Bale Creek prospect, located in Oklahoma. A
decision has been made to accelerate the drilling of the horizontal
wells in Phase I. The three horizontal well locations in Phase I
have already been spaced and pooled. While the first horizontal
well is being drilled, the pad for the next horizontal well is
being constructed and the rig contract has been extended, such that
the rig will remain on the lease for the second horizontal well,
where drilling will commence immediately following completion of
the prior well. Following Phase I, there are four additional
potential horizontal well locations in Phase II. Matt Lofgran,
Chief Executive Officer of Nostra Terra, commented: "Things are
really picking up here. The back to back well drilling programme
not only saves money but, more importantly, should allow us to
bring on production much more quickly." Nostra Terra said they will
make further announcements as the operations progress.